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REINSURANCE CONSULTING / DATA ANALYTICS / APPLIED AI

See the tail
before it arrives.

Darchville Analytics is a quantitative reinsurance consultancy. We price treaties, model catastrophe exposure and build the software that carries both into production, for cedants, reinsurers and brokers across Africa, the Middle East and Asia.

TREATY TYPESProportional · XOL · Cat XL
DELIVERED ASAdvice · Models · Software
BUILT WITHActuarial method · Machine learning
DARCHVILLE ANALYST · DEMO ILLUSTRATIVE
What is our 1-in-100 loss?
1:10 1:50 1:100 1:250 LOSS → 0 PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE

The 1-in-100 point is the loss your portfolio has a 1% chance of exceeding in any year. We read it from the modelled curve, then test it against your own claims history before anyone relies on it.

Gross loss Net of programme
  • BURNING COST
  • EXPOSURE RATING
  • PARETO FITTING
  • LOSS DEVELOPMENT
  • RETURN PERIODS
  • MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
  • CLUSTERING
  • EXPLAINABLE ML
SIMULATION · ILLUSTRATIVE

Ten thousand years, every time.

A programme is priced by living through it thousands of times. Most simulated years are quiet. A few are not, and those few decide how much cover to buy.

YEARS SIMULATED
10,000
YEARS BEYOND 1-IN-100
100
ANNUAL LOSS DISTRIBUTIONILLUSTRATIVE
1-IN-100 SIMULATED YEARS 0 ANNUAL LOSS →
INSIDE DARCHVILLE

Advice, models and software from one team.

CONSULTING Six disciplines, one view of the risk. Treaty pricing, portfolio analytics, catastrophe modelling, reserving, machine learning and engineering. Open Consulting PLATFORMS Advice that ships as software. Universe for pricing and portfolio work. Broker IQ for treaty placement. Open Platforms APPROACH From loss run to live model. Four steps from raw bordereaux to a tool your team runs at the next renewal. Open Approach ABOUT Started at the underwriting desk. Formed in 2023 by a treaty underwriter and mathematician. Open About
MARKETS

Built for markets where the data is thin.

Emerging markets rarely come with fifty years of clean loss history. Our methods are designed for short records, sparse exposure data and events no catalogue has seen.

AFRICA MIDDLE EAST ASIA HQ · ESTONIA
HEADQUARTERS Estonia An EU company, run digitally through Estonia's e-Residency programme.

Bring us the treaty that won't price.

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